Bitcoin’s low volatility is the post-halving and pre-pump moment to stack sats

Greetings Uptrennd traders, Bitcoin has not seen such low volatility since April 2019, over a year ago. The current lack of usual massive price swings that Bitcoin is known for, may have some investors and traders wondering what’s up with the king of crypto, because it certainly isn’t the price. However, this is just the calm before the storm, so stack up on Satoshis, buy all the Bitcoin you can right now, because the halving  is behind us and the next bull run to the moon is imminent.




Perhaps I’m just a perma-bull, but I have so much faith in Bitcoin’s future since I’ve studied its past. And one can see patterns and cycles in the Bitcoin price history over the past 11 years. Without fail, Bitcoin has followed each of the previous three halvings with a two year climb in price, which finishes of with a “blow-off top” lasting no more than a few days. In other words it’s easier to time your buy-in than your cash out.




We have had months to accumulate some Satoshis (fractions of a Bitcoin), as price returned to sub-$10k levels, but we may only have days to catch the top, when price peaks before dumping once more, as it did in December 2017. I had just learned about Bitcoin back then and saw it all going down, pun intended. But I had no idea of technical analysis (TA) or price history or anything about Bitcoin, so I was unable to benefit. But now I’m more experienced, having watched and learned over the past two and a half years.




And what I see is that each halving is followed by a two year bull run or climb in price, but that each consecutive cycle the bull run and price climb takes longer, moves slower, and in fact does not reach quite as high as previously by percentage in gains. Massive gains are inevitably there as price climbs over 1000% or10x, for example, but the percentage of overall gain from the low to the next all time high (ATH) is less. In other words the curve flattens slightly over the years of Bitcoin’s existence, particularly since we are climbing to exponentially higher price levels in literal dollar terms.




To go from 10 to 100 or from 100 to 1000, is both 10x, but the climb is harder the second time since the numbers are literally much higher. So as Bitcoin goes from its current $10k up to the next ATH around $100k, the climb may take longer than before and it may not produce such a volcanic push upward in price at the blow-off top, for those few days before the retracement. Therefore we can learn a huge amount from “looking left” or analyzing the past price action on the chart, but each time will be slightly different, despite following a similar pattern.




Add to that the fact that every four years, when price goes through its cycles, the socio-political as well as economic conditions on the planet are quite different. This time around we have an unprecedented situation on the entire planet, so no one can predict exactly how this coming bull run will play out. Current economic conditions could vastly affect Bitcoin’s price movement. Also the cryptocurrency industry has matured somewhat and there are many more aspects to it compared to the past. Mainstream investment, with mainstream economic tools, like futures, options, leverage, margin, defi lending, staking and all of that, has redesigned the trading field hugely. Much of price movement is now affected by these tools that traders now use. Add also the constant printing of USDTether by the billions of dollars and we can see that the Bitcoin ecosystem is different this time, even though the code and cycles are the same.




So despite the current flat line in Bitcoin volatility, which traders find very boring and unprofitable, I am a firm believer in the long term inevitability of Bitcoin’s price surge over the coming two years. Timing the top can be almost impossible but I plan to continue tracking the price and hopefully by then I will be even more experienced and able to pre-empt the time to sell. Otherwise anywhere above $100k is fine as a selling point for a good 10x profit.



COMMENT

14

Ikechukwu Ndukwe
07 Jul

this is a comprehensive analysis about bitcoin and i tell you it will still rise above this present price

1 REPLY

20

Julescape Crypto
07 Jul

Yes price will climb from here on, even if there is a small dip before the lift off. So take advantage of the price and buy some Bitcoin.

0 REPLY

21

Chukwubueze Esomonu
07 Jul

I also believe in the immediate surge of Bitcoin as well reasons being that...the stuff happening to it is very universal yo other coins even 1up...

So many countries..now mainstream this coins to their.economu which will sure boost it

1 REPLY

20

Julescape Crypto
07 Jul

Indeed, I am hoping that when Bitcoin climbs in price now, it will pull all the altcoins up with it, including Uptrennd of course. And the mainstream institutional investment is huge this year, so we should stack sats like the whales to benefit.

0 REPLY

22

preview not available Osato Jegede
07 Jul

The Bitcoin moon signal is evidently clear, but how long it's going to last is not known. However the low volatility currently is infact a great opportunity to stack up and prepared for showdown. 

1 REPLY

20

Julescape Crypto
07 Jul

Any extra cash I have now will go into buying bitcoin at the next dip, as it may be the bear trap before the bull run proper. 

0 REPLY

18

Coinoclast II
07 Jul

If history is any guide, never sell all your bitcoin. At most, sell half of your stack every four years :)

1 REPLY

20

Julescape Crypto
07 Jul

Hey thanks for the great advice Coinoclast, that makes a lot of sense. You have obviously been in the industry for some years and have learned by experience. I like your logic.

0 REPLY

26

preview not available Lucas S
07 Jul

I think that the longer cycle time is the key point here and it can happen fast. I think we still have a few weeks or once to accumulate and should take advantage of it if that's what our goal is.

1 REPLY

20

Julescape Crypto
07 Jul

Yes we have a few weeks at least to accumulate Lucas, there is no immediate hurry. Especially since we are aiming for $100k bitcoin. Wishing you the very best for the coming bull run lol. May you live long and prosper. The longer you can hodl the wealthier you will become, if bitcoin's history is anything to go by.

0 REPLY

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